Fed's Kaplan expects interest rate rise in 2022

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In an interview with CNBC, he stated that his forecast for the economy "has improved meaningfully," expecting a growth of 6.5 percent for 2021 and the unemployment rate to approach 4.5 percent by the end of the year.


However, Kaplan assured that he wants to see "actual evidence that that forecast is going to unfold" before advocating for scaling back stimulus measures. He added that reducing asset purchases would be the first step toward removing accommodation.


He forecast year-over-year inflation 2.25 percent to 2.5 percent in 2021, although he cautioned that there is uncertainty about whether there will be a temporary surge in prices or a sustained yearly rise. He also predicted that the 10-year yield will "back up further from here."
 

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