IATA warns data points to worse-than-expected 2021

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Booking data for the airline industry indicates a weak H1, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) warned on Wednesday, noting that the Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) in 2021 is seen falling between 62 percent and 67 percent compared to the prior year.


The airlines' cash burn is expected to continue at a higher pace than previously expected, with the industry now estimated to go through 75 billion dollars - 95 billion dollars. This will make breaking even very unlikely, the organization said.


IATA also announced that it will launch its Covid-19 travel pass by April and urged governments to adopt a digital vaccination certification system.


IATA, earlier this month announced that it predicts 2021 air traffic levels will reach 50 percent of 2019 levels but warned that even that could be a challenge. 


In IATA's worst-case scenario, 2021 travel by air will amount to 38 percent of pre-coronavirus pandemic levels seen in 2019, rising only 13 percent from 2020.


"I don’t think anyone sees a world free of Covid-19 anytime soon… even within this year," IATA Director General Alexandre de Juniac stated.
 

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